Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.403027 0.464708 0.531694 0.609719 0.697974 0.794570 0.908162
2025-10-12 0.313560 0.401911 0.507108 0.640964 0.806057 1.002266 1.252305
2025-10-19 0.257547 0.357200 0.484187 0.656484 0.882557 1.167283 1.550952
2025-10-26 0.216389 0.320656 0.461254 0.662372 0.939880 1.306072 1.821925
2025-11-02 0.183759 0.288846 0.437820 0.661018 0.982727 1.424590 2.071038
2025-11-09 0.156159 0.259243 0.412263 0.651410 1.009972 1.520446 2.292834
2025-11-16 0.133987 0.234115 0.389258 0.641364 1.033259 1.609688 2.508788
2025-11-23 0.113471 0.208372 0.361636 0.620170 1.036102 1.667023 2.679596
2025-11-30 0.107036 0.204940 0.368618 0.653417 1.124756 1.857990 3.062434
2025-12-07 0.092557 0.185433 0.346619 0.636568 1.131121 1.921309 3.251505
2025-12-14 0.080023 0.167595 0.325206 0.617990 1.132063 1.974675 3.426546
2025-12-21 0.070152 0.153319 0.308300 0.605130 1.140758 2.039992 3.623510
2025-12-28 0.065014 0.147806 0.307107 0.620859 1.201285 2.197090 3.985392
2026-01-04 0.062125 0.146509 0.313754 0.651733 1.291373 2.410659 4.456794
2026-01-11 0.057778 0.141501 0.312556 0.667423 1.354727 2.581668 4.865147
2026-01-18 0.052905 0.134618 0.306758 0.673395 1.400052 2.723211 5.229795
2026-01-25 0.047904 0.126685 0.297824 0.672020 1.430819 2.839830 5.556033
2026-02-01 0.042768 0.117644 0.285463 0.662267 1.444146 2.924775 5.829178
2026-02-08 0.038199 0.109263 0.273523 0.652069 1.455415 3.005988 6.099342
2026-02-15 0.033365 0.099431 0.257139 0.630556 1.441643 3.038194 6.278868
2026-02-22 0.032689 0.100325 0.265535 0.664305 1.544809 3.302132 6.912751
2026-03-01 0.028916 0.092302 0.251941 0.647201 1.539073 3.351729 7.135815
2026-03-08 0.025477 0.084620 0.238222 0.628342 1.527794 3.389066 7.336224